Analysts’ Ideas of the Week
Promising Updates from a Lithium M&A Target and a Junior Advancing Its Second Mine to Production
Published: May 20, 2025
Author: FRC Analysts
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We review the performance of our Top Picks, including a gold junior, whose shares rose 28% last week. Additionally, we highlight a promising resource update from Lake Resources’ lithium project near Ganfeng’s new lithium mine in Argentina, Denarius Metals’ critical permit in Spain, and encouraging updates from other companies under coverage
- Gain insights into companies under coverage that experienced significant developments last week, along with our analysts’ commentary and actionable takeaways.
- FRC top picks and standout performers from the past week
Lake Resources NL (LKE)
PR Title: Announces an updated resource estimate on its Kachi lithium brine project in Argentina
Analyst Opinion: Positive – Kachi, located near Ganfeng Lithium’s (SZSE: 002460) recently commissioned Mariana lithium project, hosts a large-tonnage, low-grade lithium brine resource. Resources increased by 4% to 11.1 Mt of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE). M&I resources now account for 74% of the total (previously 69%), indicating increased confidence in the resource. The weighted average grade remained relatively flat at approximately 216 mg/L. A 2023 Definitive Feasibility Study confirmed that Kachi can produce battery-grade lithium carbonate (>99.5% purity) on-site without additional refining or processing. Management is actively seeking a strategic partner to advance the project towards production. The lithium sector is currently out of favor, but we anticipate a rebound within the next 12 months as the market moves toward a projected supply deficit in 2026. Lithium prices are down 40% YoY to US$9k/t vs the 10-year average of US$19k/t. We believe current lithium prices are unsustainable, and below the break-even level for most large-scale development projects. Given Kachi’s size, we believe LKE is an attractive M&A target for larger players.
Denarius Metals Corp. (DMET.NE, DNRSF)
PR Title: Announces receipt of water permits for its Aquablanca project (Spain)
Analyst Opinion: Positive – This is a major milestone for DMET, as the permit allows the company to begin de-watering the underground mine, potentially enabling a restart of operations at the Aguablanca polymetallic project within the next 12 months. DMET owns a 21% interest, and is the operator of the project. The company recently brought its first mine, the Zancudo gold project in Colombia, into production. A PEA on its Lomero project is expected imminently.
Denarius Metals Corp. (DMET.NE, DNRSF)
PR Title: Infrastructure updates related to its Banio potash project in Gabon
Analyst Opinion: Positive – The Gabonese government, in partnership with private investors, has completed phase one construction of the Mengali port in Mayumba. This allows the port to start receiving equipment needed for the ongoing Mayumba power station construction, slated for completion in July 2025. We believe both the port and power plant will greatly mitigate operational and transportation risks related to the Banio potash project. This project can be advanced to production within three to four years.
Cupani Metals Corp. (CUPA.CN)
PR Title: Announces a $4M private placement
Analyst Opinion: Positive – This financing follows the receipt of drilling permits for its Blue Lake copper-nickel-platinum-palladium project in Quebec. Based on our review of available data, and speculative assumptions, we estimate the project could host over 3 Blbs of CuEq. Check out a recent webinar with Cupani’s management, featuring a Q&A session moderated by our Head of Research. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LoOMS67Q6QE&t=2796s
Golden Arrow Resources Corporation (GARWF, GRG.V)
PR Title: Identifies new exploration targets at the San Pietro copper-gold project (Chile)
Analyst Opinion: Positive – Samples from two newly identified targets returned encouraging grades, including 1.4 m of 3.41% Cu and 0.26 g/t Au, and 3.0 m of 2.08% Cu and 4.19 g/t Au. GRG has also expanded the project’s land package. The project hosts a substantial inferred resource of 4.4 Blbs CuEq at 0.41%, and is strategically located between three copper assets operated by Capstone Copper (TSX: CS), including an active open-pit mine.
Homerun Resources Inc. / TSXV: HMR
PR Title: Signs a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) for its proposed silica processing and solar glass production facilities in Brazil
Analyst Opinion – Positive – HMR has signed a MoU with local and state authorities to develop a 120,000-ton silica processing plant, and a 365,000-ton solar glass factory. Recognizing the potential of these facilities to generate jobs and boost the local economy, these government entities have pledged support through land donations, tax incentives, expedited permitting, and natural gas supply. Management aims to commence production at the silica processing plant in H1-2026, followed by the solar glass manufacturing facility in H1 2027.
FRC Top Picks
The following table shows last week’s top five performers among our Top Picks.
| Top Five Weekly Performers | WoW Returns |
| Western Exploration Inc. (WEX.V) | 28.40% |
| Contango Ore Inc. (CTGO) | 22.90% |
| Hemostemix Inc. (HEM.V) | 21.10% |
| Sirios Resources Inc. (SOI.V) | 12.50% |
| Panoro Minerals (PML.V) | 12.50% |
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