The Copper Market and Outlook

The Copper Market and Outlook

Copper products 

Copper is produced and sold in various forms across the value chain. Mines typically yield either copper concentrate from sulphide deposits or cathodes from oxide deposits. Concentrate is smelted into anodes and refined into cathodes, which are then processed into intermediate products, such as rods, bars, and tubes, and ultimately into final goods, including wires and widgets, by fabricators worldwide. Alongside mine output (primary supply), smelters and processors also use copper scrap (secondary supply). 

Copper production 

Global mine output in 2023 was about 22 million tons, of which 18.2 million were as concentrate and 3.8 million as cathodes from leaching. Scrap added another 4.5 million tons, bringing the total supply to ~26.5 million tons. Chile and Peru accounted for 35% of mine supply, making regional labour disputes and political shifts (e.g., royalty debates) influential for global production. The DRC contributed ~12%, with the rest spread across other regions. 

Table 1: Copper supply and demand by country (2023) 

On the demand side, China dominates as the largest copper consumer, accounting for more than half of global usage. This aligns with copper’s major end-use applications, discussed in the next section. Other key demand centres include the European Union, Japan, India, South Korea, and several Southeast Asian nations. 

Supply and demand 

Precise copper supply and demand figures are difficult to establish due to the industry’s complexity. While listed companies report production in detail, significant volumes come from private firms, state-owned entities, artisanal mines, and recycled copper, which are harder to track. On the demand side, thousands of buyers (many of whom are private and partially reliant on scrap) make exact consumption data elusive. Estimates typically rely on company reports combined with import/export data to reconstruct past balances with reasonable accuracy.

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